BC election polls 2026: NDP vs Conservatives
Latest published BC provincial polls with field dates, sample sizes and methods. In the two most recent polls with full method details, the BC NDP leads the BC Conservatives by 5 to 10 points. A poll measures respondents at one point in time; it is not a forecast or a result.
Vote intention (decided voters)
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | NDP | Cons. | Green | CentreBC | OneBC | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | Sep 8–14, 2026 (released Sep 15) | 800 adults, online panel; ±4.0 credibility interval | 45% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 2% | Other 4%. 28% undecided or no preference. |
| Research Co. | Aug 12–14, 2026 (published Aug 18) | 801 adults, online; ±3.5 | 44% | 39% | 10% | 5% | 1% | Decided voters. NDP regained the lead after trailing in June. |
| Leger | Apr 3–6, 2026 (published May 4) | 1,003 adults, online panel; comparable probability sample ±3.1 | 44% | 40% | — | — | — | Only NDP and Conservative figures shown here; see the release for other parties. 54% said the province is on the wrong track. |
Sources: Ipsos, Research Co. and Leger. Ipsos reports the Conservatives down 8 points from their 2024 result (43.3% in 2024).
Leader ratings
David Eby (NDP): 41% / 30%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay (Cons.): 17% / 46%
Emily Lowan (Green): 12% / 15%
Dallas Brodie (OneBC): 10% / 24%
Mike Bernier (CentreBC): 9% / 19%
Eby: 49%
Lowan: 38%
Findlay: 34%
Bernier: 24%
Brodie: 18%
Eby approval 41%. 51% say they feel like a “political orphan” with no party to enthusiastically support. Field dates, sample and vote-intention tables are in the Angus Reid release.
These are three different measures (favourability, approval, and a party-support sentiment) from different firms; they are not directly comparable.
How to read these polls
- Undecided voters matter. Ipsos reports 28% undecided or with no preference; the table shows decided voters only.
- Regions matter more than the provincial number. Research Co. found the Conservatives dominant in Northern BC and the Fraser Valley and Metro Vancouver tight, while the NDP leads on Vancouver Island. BC uses first-past-the-post in 93 ridings, so seats depend on where votes fall.
- New parties can split the vote. CentreBC and OneBC are new parties that now appear alongside the Greens in polling (Ipsos describes them as two new parties).
- Margins of error. A ±3.5 to ±4.0 point margin means a 5-point gap can be within combined uncertainty for a single poll.
Polls are added only with pollster, field dates, sample and source link. Ridings, candidates and seat projections are not covered here. See the election guide for status and our sourcing rules.