BC election polls 2026: before the October 24 vote
Ipsos's October 7–11 survey puts the Conservatives at 43%, NDP at 38% and Greens at 11% among decided voters. Liaison's October 7–8 survey had Conservatives at 43% and NDP at 37%. Field dates and methods matter; polls are not forecasts or election results.
Vote intention (decided or decided and leaning voters)
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | NDP | Cons. | Green | CentreBC | OneBC | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipsos | Oct 7–11, 2026 (released Oct 13) | 1,356 BC adults; online and phone | 38% | 43% | 11% | 2% | 4% | Decided voters; other 2%. 25% undecided or no preference. See Ipsos methodology. |
| Liaison Strategies | Oct 7–8, 2026 (released Oct 9) | 1,000 adults, IVR | 37% | 43% | — | — | — | Decided and leaning voters; see full report for other parties. |
| Angus Reid | Oct 1–3, 2026 (released Oct 5) | 1,013 BC adults online; 846 decided/leaning | 43% | 48% | 7% | — | — | Decided and leaning voters; other parties 2%. Non-probability online panel; see methodology. |
| Liaison Strategies | Sep 26–27, 2026 (released Sep 29) | 1,000 adults, IVR; ±3.1 for total sample | 39% | 40% | — | — | — | Decided and leaning voters. The margin of error is higher for this subgroup; see full report for other parties. |
| Angus Reid | Sep 22–24, 2026 (released Sep 24) | 801 adults online; 682 decided/leaning | 35% | 43% | — | — | — | Decided and leaning voters; 20% of all respondents undecided. See report for other parties. |
| Liaison Strategies | Sep 21–22, 2026 (released Sep 23) | 1,000 adults, IVR; ±3.1 for total sample | 41% | 36% | 12% | 4% | 4% | Decided and leaning voters; other parties 3%. Fieldwork overlapped election call. |
| Angus Reid | Sep 8–15, 2026 (released Sep 17) | 749 adults, online; comparable probability sample ±4.0 | 41% | 37% | — | — | — | Only the NDP/Conservative vote-intention figures found in the release; see the full report for other parties. 51% said they feel like a “political orphan.” |
| Ipsos | Sep 8–14, 2026 (released Sep 15) | 800 adults, online panel; ±4.0 credibility interval | 45% | 35% | 10% | 4% | 2% | Other 4%. 28% undecided or no preference. |
| Research Co. | Aug 12–14, 2026 (published Aug 18) | 801 adults, online; ±3.5 | 44% | 39% | 10% | 5% | 1% | Decided voters. NDP regained the lead after trailing in June. |
| Leger | Jun 1–2, 2026 (published Jun 5) | 1,002 adults, online panel; comparable probability sample ±3.1 | 41% | 45% | 8% | — | — | Conservatives led just after Findlay became leader; only 26% said they were familiar with her. |
| Leger | Apr 3–6, 2026 (published May 4) | 1,003 adults, online panel; comparable probability sample ±3.1 | 44% | 40% | — | — | — | Only NDP and Conservative figures shown here; see the release for other parties. 54% said the province is on the wrong track. |
Sources: Ipsos (Oct 13), Liaison Strategies (Oct 9), Angus Reid (Oct 5), Liaison Strategies (Sept 29), Angus Reid (Sept 24), Liaison Strategies (Sept 23), Angus Reid (Sept 17), Ipsos, Research Co., Leger (June) and Leger (April). Party figures are for decided or decided and leaning voters as noted in each row. Earlier surveys are retained for context.
Leader ratings
David Eby (NDP): 41% / 30%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay (Cons.): 17% / 46%
Emily Lowan (Green): 12% / 15%
Dallas Brodie (OneBC): 10% / 24%
Mike Bernier (then CentreBC leader): 9% / 19%
Eby: 49%
Lowan: 38%
Findlay: 34%
Bernier (then CentreBC leader): 24%
Brodie: 18%
Eby approval 41%. 51% say they feel like a “political orphan” with no party to enthusiastically support. Full tables in the Angus Reid release.
These are three different measures (favourability, approval, and a party-support sentiment) from different firms; they are not directly comparable. All were taken before CentreBC named Peter Milobar leader (Sept 18), before Kerry-Lynne Findlay resigned as Conservative leader (Sept 20) and before Lorne Doerkson became interim Conservative leader (Sept 21); their ratings refer to Bernier and Findlay respectively. See current party leaders.
How to read these polls
- Results change over time. Liaison (Sept 26–27) has Conservatives 40% and NDP 39%, after reporting NDP 41% and Conservatives 36% (Sept 21–22). Angus Reid (Sept 22–24) reported Conservatives 43% and NDP 35%. The surveys used different methods and were fielded as party leadership and caucus affiliations changed. See party leaders.
- Undecided voters matter. Ipsos reported 25% undecided or with no preference in its October 13 release; its October 7–11 table shows decided voters only.
- Regions matter more than the provincial number. Research Co. found the Conservatives dominant in Northern BC and the Fraser Valley and Metro Vancouver tight, while the NDP leads on Vancouver Island. BC uses first-past-the-post in 93 ridings, so seats depend on where votes fall.
- New parties can split the vote. CentreBC and OneBC are new parties that now appear alongside the Greens in polling (Ipsos describes them as two new parties).
- Margins of error. A ±3.1 to ±4.0 point margin means a close race can be within combined uncertainty for a single poll.
Polls are added with pollster, field dates, sample and source link. Different surveys can disagree; none is an election result. See the election guide for status and our sourcing rules.